Looking for a baccarat system that can't fail; a system that will help you to walk away a winner every time? So am I; let know if you find one. On second thought, don't bother; because if you've found a baccarat system that claims to do that, you haven't found anything at all. Perhaps it's the simple game-play or elegant math that dictates the rules of baccarat that let so many young men and women fall prey to the notion that a sharper mathematical mind can hold the upper hand. Maybe it's the high stakes associated with the game that fools people into thinking there is more money to be won in the baccarat pit. However, it is unlikely the cash the high rollers are pushing will winding up in front of us; this isn't poker.
The most common approach to beating baccarat is based on a martingale system model. A martingale style system is one that has you double your bet after a losing (or with some variations after a winning) hand. Picture it like this: a 5-dollar bet is lost so the next bet made is 10 dollars. If it too is lost the third bet made is for 20. If the third bet is won you win 20 and retain your bet, so have a total of 40 dollars in front of you. In this way you have essentially recouped your losses on the original 5-dollar bet and the 10-dollar bet. You've also made a five-dollar profit. This system is completely infallible except for the table maximum issue. If we are on this five-dollar table, and lost the 20-dollar bet and keep losing, your bet amount quickly rises to $40, $80, $160, $320, $640. On a $5 the table maximum is usually $500, so if you happen to lose 6 hands in a row you're completely out of luck. Even if you happen to win the $320 bet, you've wagered $635 and won $640, for a nice tidy profit of $5. I honestly can't see myself putting down $320 US for a slightly less than 50% chance of winning $5. Martingale is a horrible system that should never be used under any circumstances.
Card counting baccarat system
Baccarat is a card game dealt from a shoe with a set number of decks. Because of this, many a person has tried to apply the techniques of card counting in a way similar to blackjack experts. Of course there is some merit to this, as you may remember from a finite math course of your youth, the odds do change if a card is removed from a deck and not replaced. The problem with baccarat is that the odds change very, very little even if you keep perfect track. The Wizard of Odds has an excellent section relating to card counting in baccarat. Since the changes to odds are so minimal, it's very rare for an instance in your count to come up where you have an advantage. The major problem is of course that when those instances do come up, baccarat may not let you do anything to capitalize on it. If you want to work a little card counting wisdom into your strategy or hacked together baccarat system, then just pay some attention to the 4's and the 6's as they leave the deck. As four's leave the deck the banker bet becomes slightly more attractive, as sixes leave the deck the player bet becomes a little more attractive. There are never any significant swings though, and certainly never any sure things.